Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.025024 0.027503 0.029965 0.032591 0.035304 0.038022 0.040946
2025-02-02 0.020176 0.024138 0.028199 0.032645 0.037351 0.042161 0.047431
2025-02-09 0.016191 0.021026 0.026125 0.031836 0.037995 0.044389 0.051486
2025-02-16 0.013844 0.019344 0.025291 0.032072 0.039490 0.047279 0.056003
2025-02-23 0.011750 0.017713 0.024320 0.031985 0.040476 0.049478 0.059639
2025-03-02 0.009868 0.016146 0.023279 0.031692 0.041124 0.051210 0.062671
2025-03-09 0.008347 0.014864 0.022458 0.031553 0.041859 0.052963 0.065656
2025-03-16 0.006714 0.013296 0.021201 0.030833 0.041874 0.053864 0.067650
2025-03-23 0.005700 0.012418 0.020697 0.030926 0.042753 0.055675 0.070597
2025-03-30 0.004570 0.011274 0.019801 0.030506 0.043006 0.056751 0.072698
2025-04-06 0.003444 0.010000 0.018669 0.029751 0.042830 0.057310 0.074194
2025-04-13 0.002272 0.008470 0.017120 0.028430 0.041951 0.057041 0.074733
2025-04-20 0.001833 0.008120 0.017196 0.029217 0.043687 0.059906 0.078977
2025-04-27 0.001198 0.007318 0.016657 0.029269 0.044604 0.061897 0.082314
2025-05-04 0.000522 0.006130 0.015498 0.028494 0.044509 0.062708 0.084307
2025-05-11 0.000225 0.005563 0.015159 0.028720 0.045576 0.064824 0.087743
2025-05-18 0.000024 0.004893 0.014608 0.028637 0.046243 0.066458 0.090610
2025-05-25 NaN 0.004189 0.013936 0.028357 0.046644 0.067759 0.093079
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003612 0.013401 0.028224 0.047200 0.069220 0.095709
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002861 0.012484 0.027536 0.047045 0.069830 0.097348
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002480 0.012156 0.027625 0.047832 0.071525 0.100211
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001961 0.011497 0.027224 0.047988 0.072463 0.102191
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001402 0.010640 0.026503 0.047717 0.072879 0.103554